Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 82.18 with a target of 103.65 – 116.00.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 82.18 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 75.97 – 69.28.
Analysis: the first wave of larger degree (1) is presumably formed on the daily chart, and a descending correction developed as second wave (2). The third wave (3) appears to be developing on the H4 chart, with the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) forming as its part. H1 chart: apparently, wave i of 1 is completed and a local correction is formed as wave ii of 1; the third wave iii of 1 is unfolding, with wave (i) of iii formed as its part. If the presumption is correct, the asset’s price will continue to rise to the levels of 103.65 – 116.00 once a corrective wave (ii) of iii is completed. The level of 82.18 is critical in this scenario as a breakout will enable the price to continue declining to the levels of 75.97 – 69.28.
Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode
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