The completed Monday’s session 0.2% within the purple.

Sadly, the 0.6% noon features didn’t stick into the shut, however the modest loss was nonetheless comfortably above the opening lows that undercut 4,200 assist.

This was a type of half-full/half-empty days that gave either side one thing to crow about. The bulls noticed a pleasant check of 4,200 assist that held. Bears noticed a skid into the shut that retains 4,200 assist below strain.

Which aspect will win? There are tons of opinions, however solely time will inform.

I actually preferred the noon bounce as a result of the violation of 4,200 assist did not set off wider waves of defensive promoting. We broke assist, and most house owners shrugged and stored holding. That tells us there’s not a lot provide below present costs. If there have been, it might have proven up as waves of promoting early Monday morning.

On the opposite aspect of the argument, it takes much more than an absence of promoting to prop up a struggling market.

I’m an optimist by nature as a result of shares spend way more time going up than down. As well as, everybody is aware of shares transfer in waves, so it is sensible that after a little bit of down, it’s time to anticipate a little bit of up. In actual fact, the most important and quickest features happen throughout bear markets.

Taken collectively, each of this stuff imply the percentages of some near-term reduction are literally working in our favor. In actual fact, even bears ought to be anticipating a modest bounce close to 4,200 assist.

After all, I’m not a buy-and-close-my-eyes form of man. I preferred Monday’s early bounce, and I purchased it. However as a brand new place, I began small and stored a close-by cease below Monday’s lows. If the rebound continues on Tuesday, I add extra. If the promoting resumes, I get out and anticipate the subsequent bounce.

Because the saying goes, shares climb a wall of fear, and by that measure, there are many issues to fret about. That’s good for shares as a result of issues nearly at all times end up much less unhealthy than feared. Buyers ought to concern the issues nobody is speaking about, not the stuff that has been on the entrance pages for weeks, if not months.

I’m a purchaser so long as 4,200 holds however violates assist, and I’m out of right here.