Prediction markets estimate a 52% likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in 2024.
Bitcoin has surged to $86,000, partly fueled by Trump’s presidential win and institutional demand.
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has just lately priced in a 52% likelihood that Bitcoin will attain $100,000 by the top of 2024.
Kalshi additionally reveals a 77% chance of Bitcoin hitting $90,000 this yr, reflecting a surge in optimism that Bitcoin’s present rally may push it to unprecedented highs.
On the time of writing, Bitcoin reached an all-time excessive of $86,000, with a market cap of $1.7 trillion and record-high open curiosity in Bitcoin futures at $48 billion.
According to Kalshi’s odds, Polymarket has additionally launched a market on Bitcoin’s 2024 efficiency, exhibiting a 61% likelihood of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by the top of the yr.
Because the election, Bitcoin has persistently set new highs, supported by growing capital inflows.
November has traditionally been Bitcoin’s strongest month, boasting a mean return of 45%, in line with CoinGlass knowledge.
Bitcoin is already up 20% this month alone, simply 11 days into November. With historic knowledge exhibiting robust November efficiency, Bitcoin would wish an extra 17% acquire to succeed in the $100,000 milestone.
Supporting this sentiment, stablecoins have seen a market cap improve to over $180 billion, suggesting further capital inflows into the crypto market which will quickly pivot to Bitcoin and different digital belongings.
Trump’s win has additionally sparked a “crypto shopping for spree” as buyers anticipate a extra favorable regulatory atmosphere below his administration.
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