Morgan Stanley says the US is in a disinflationary course of, decrease their inflation forecast

A Morgan Stanley notice from Friday ICYMI, saying that the info on inflation that was out through the week, for US CPI and PPI “level to a faster development within the disinflationary course of”. And add that the slower momentum is “notable”.

Morgan Stanley have thus lowered their forecast for core PCE inflation in 2023 and 2024:

  • 3.3% 4Q/4Q this yr (from 3.4%)
  • and a couple of.2% in 2024 (from 2.3%)

Individually MS say that the Auto Staff strike provides to uncertainty within the financial system and that can maintain the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on maintain for the remainder of 2023.

The FOMC assertion is due on Wednesday at 2pm US Jap time:

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