Midsummer Shorties from Doc Gumshoe


A lot of the information objects on this piece are comparatively optimistic, however there are a few considerably adverse bits, which I’ll put close to the entrance, simply to get it over with.

First comes an replace on COVID 19, which we’re all hoping is generally a factor of the previous. However there are some disturbing particulars, probably the most disturbing of which is a brand new COVID variant that typically causes signs typically known as “razor blade throat.”

The variant, designated NB.1.8.1 was first detected in China in January of this 12 months. In accordance with the World Well being Group, the chance posed by this variant is low on the world degree, and of their report final month WHO acknowledged that “At the moment accepted COVID-19 vaccines are anticipated to stay efficient to this variant in opposition to symptomatic and extreme illness.” (I shouldn’t must level out that at this stage of the pandemic, vaccines don’t stop an infection from the brand new variants that come alongside, however they’re efficient in stopping probably the most severe penalties.)

Folks contaminated with the NB.1.8.1 variant might develop extraordinarily sore throats. These unlucky individuals say that it feels as if their throats have been invaded by razor blades. An on-line submit mentioned “I had a sore throat final Saturday night time, began kind of simply scratchy, then progressed into not having the ability to swallow and saved me up all night time.” This symptom is a brand new and completely different improvement within the COVID 19 saga. We will hope that the coronavirus doesn’t evolve to trigger extra new and dangerous signs.

In accordance with the most recent CDC information, NB.1.8.1 pressure is the second highest within the U.S. and makes up 37% of the whole circumstances of COVID-19 recorded within the U.S.

The most typical pressure is LP.8.1, which accounts for 38% of circumstances, adopted by NB.1.8.1 with 37%, XFG with 8%, XFC making up 7%, and LF.7.9 with 4%. These are labeled as “variants of curiosity.” The opposite class is known as “variants of concern.” None of the present variants are labeled as “variants of concern.”

On steadiness, the prevalence of COVID inflicting signs extreme sufficient to require hospitalization could be very low. The one state wherein that prevalence is growing is California, the place 0.52% of individuals presenting to hospital emergency departments are identified with COVID. That share has been barely growing, however it’s nonetheless fairly low.

The state the place the proportion of emergency division (ED) sufferers presenting with COVID is highest is Florida, the place 0.72% of sufferers get that prognosis. Florida has had elevated percentages of COVID circumstances from the start of the pandemic, and its aged inhabitants is at elevated threat.

The states the bottom share of ED sufferers with COVID are Nebraska (0.13%), Pennsylvania (0.13%), and Maine (0.17%).

As you may see, the proportion of sufferers presenting to the ED who get a COVID prognosis doesn’t breach the one p.c marker in any state. We will conclude that the COVID pandemic is actually and really receding.

The FDA is contemplating utilizing AI as a approach to pace up the drug approval course of

Little question about it, dashing up that course of could be factor. The brand new company commissioner, Dr Marty Makary, co-wrote an article in JAMA with Dr Vinay Prasad, together with the next assertion: “The FDA might be centered on delivering quicker cures and significant remedies for sufferers, particularly these with uncared for and uncommon ailments, more healthy meals for kids and common sense approaches to rebuild the general public belief.”

In accordance with a narrative within the NY Occasions on June twelfth, the FDA has launched Elsa, a synthetic intelligence large-language mannequin just like ChatGPT. The FDA proposes to make use of Elsa to carry out product overview duties similar to describing unintended effects.

The newly-installed FDA officers proposed dashing drug approval by requiring just one main examine in sufferers quite than two, which has been the apply to this point. Additionally they wrote that AI has the promise to “radically improve effectivity” by inspecting as many as 500,000 pages submitted for approval selections.

The FDA proposals carefully observe a report issued by Robert Kennedy’s MAHA Fee. MAHA, as it’s possible you’ll know, stands for “Make American Wholesome Once more.” The report was discovered to be riddled with references to scientific analysis that was fabricated by a synthetic intelligence program. There was no precise analysis backing the references.

Some present and former well being officers had important reservations. They mentioned, in response to the NY Occasions, that the AI mannequin was “hallucinating.” In accordance with MIT Administration, “Generative AI instruments additionally carry the potential for in any other case deceptive outputs. AI instruments like ChatGPT, Copilot, and Gemini have been discovered to offer customers with fabricated information that seems genuine. These inaccuracies are so frequent that they’ve earned their very own moniker; we seek advice from them as “hallucinations” (Generative AI Working Group).”

From my perspective, the Makary-Prasad-Kennedy notion that FDA drug approval ought to rely extra on AI and fewer on medical trials isn’t solely mistaken, however harmful. Little question, AI can look at all of the doable compounds that may be used as prescription drugs and in addition all of the doable targets that these compounds would possibly have an effect on in our our bodies, and decide whether or not these doable medicine might bind to these targets, which is how medicine work. However AI can not decide whether or not the results of these connections between the potential pharmaceutical and the human goal could be useful, dangerous, or inconsequential.

To be taught one thing concerning the potential efficacy and security of any pharmaceutical candidate, what’s wanted are medical trials, and never only one. I’m not going into element concerning the planning and construction of medical trials supposed to find out whether or not a compound ought to obtain approval to be used in people, however on the very least, it’s obligatory to find out whether or not the compound in query is protected and whether or not it supplies some extent of profit. Medical trials additionally present an enormous vary of different very important details about how medicine ought to be used, and there’s no method for this type of info to be found with out precise medical trials in human beings.

AI doesn’t give a hoot about our well being and well-being, and there’s no purpose to belief it on these issues.

A compound which may reverse mind irritation and deal with Alzheimer’s

The important thing phrase right here is “would possibly.” We’re within the space of potential profit, not demonstrated profit. However the info to date is optimistic.

The analysis comes from a crew on the College of Barcelona, which is focusing not on the plaques within the mind like most earlier remedies, however by stopping the damaging irritation behind them.

Alzheimer’s is the main reason for dementia worldwide. In Spain alone, the place this analysis was carried out, greater than 800,000 individuals are residing with the illness. The worldwide influence of Alzheimer’s is gigantic. The Alzheimer’s Affiliation tasks that there might be 78 million individuals with Alzheimer’s dementia by 2030 and 139 million by 2050.

Alzheimer’s has no treatment, and present medicine supply solely restricted assist for folks within the early levels. However latest discoveries counsel that irritation within the mind may be greater than only a facet impact — it might be a key driver of the illness itself.

In an individual who doesn’t have Alzheimer’s illness, there are molecules within the mind often known as epoxyeicosatrienoic acids (EETs), which assist scale back irritation and defend nerve cells. There’s additionally an enzyme known as soluble epoxide hydrolase (sEH). This enzyme breaks down the protecting EET molecules. As soon as damaged down by sEH, these EETs change into compounds that promote irritation.

Scientists discovered that in each folks with Alzheimer’s and mouse fashions of the illness, the quantity of sEH was unusually excessive, particularly within the hippocampus —an space important for reminiscence. That’s why researchers turned their focus to this enzyme and developed a brand new compound. The outcomes to date look promising.

The potential drug targets sEH. Blocking sEH helps the mind hold extra of its pure anti-inflammatory compounds. This method might be particularly helpful as a result of it doesn’t deal with only one a part of the illness. Alzheimer’s entails a fancy mixture of issues. The very best-known components are beta-amyloid plaques and tangled tau proteins, however lack of nerve cells and dangerous immune responses have lengthy been suspected.

It has been recognized for a while that Alzheimer’s illness is extremely advanced. Past these best-known components within the Alzheimer’s pathology, dangerous auto-immune responses resulting in irritation have extra just lately been recognized as contributing causes. By decreasing mind irritation and supporting nerve cell well being, sEH inhibitors might deal with a number of of those issues without delay.

This newly-discovered compound, labeled UB-SCG-74, has the impact of blocking sEH. The analysis program began with an earlier model of the molecule, dubbed UB-SCG-51. It demonstrated good mind penetration and will block sEH successfully. Exams in mice with Alzheimer’s confirmed it did extra than simply ease irritation—it additionally slowed down cell dying, in the reduction of on poisonous protein buildup, and improved mind perform. In search of to enhance the advantages, researchers created a modified model, UB-SCG-74, which is extra simply absorbed within the physique and lasts longer.

UB-SCG-74 was examined in a pressure of mice that shortly develop signs just like human Alzheimer’s. The handled mice confirmed higher reminiscence, stronger synaptic plasticity (the power of mind cells to speak), and fewer indicators of mind harm. These advantages lasted for a full month after the therapy ended. That long-lasting influence hints that the drug may not simply masks signs, however really change the illness’s course.

UB-SCG-74 outperformed each donepezil, a generally used Alzheimer’s drug, and ibuprofen, a recognized anti-inflammatory. No indicators of toxicity have been present in security checks. This helps shifting the compound towards preclinical improvement.

It might appear untimely to spend a lot time discussing a possible drug that has up so far been examined solely in mice. No pharmaceutical firm as but is concerned within the improvement of UB-SCG-74, and it has not even been given a selected chemical title. However as a drug that has the potential to deal with Alzheimer’s illness within the early levels, UB-SCG-74 might be a step on the best way to a brand new paradigm of take care of Alzheimer’s.

As we’ve mentioned in a number of of those missives, an excessive amount of the drug improvement for Alzheimer’s has been centered on brokers that focus on probably the most outstanding mind options of the illness, these being amyloid plaque and neurofibrillary tangles. These, nevertheless, don’t change into sensible targets till the illness has progressed past the earliest levels. UB-SCG-74 addresses the method that results in these adversarial developments within the mind. Blocking the molecule that results in mind irritation and the buildup of poisonous proteins has the potential to delay or maybe even stop the onset of Alzheimer’s. And the invention of a compound that impedes the poisonous results of that molecule is extremely promising. UB-SCG-74 is the simplest compound developed to this point, but in addition opens a pathway to the event – maybe – of much more efficient molecules because the analysis continues, which it absolutely will.

Taxi and ambulance drivers have decrease Alzheimer’s disease-linked dying charges

This surprising discovering was the results of an enormous examine primarily based on proof from about 9 million individuals with 443 completely different occupations, carried out by Mass Common Brigham, revealed within the BMJ on 12/17/2024. Of those, 348,328 died from Alzheimer’s illness throughout the two-year examine interval which ran from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2022. Among the many 16,658 taxi drivers within the examine, 171 died of Alzheimer’s – about 1.3%. And among the many 1,348 ambulance drivers, 10 died of Alzheimer’s – 0.74%. These have been the bottom proportions of deaths as a result of Alzheimer’s of all of the occupations studied.

These Alzheimer’s-related dying charges have been a lot decrease in contrast with the charges in different transportation-related jobs, similar to bus drivers, whose Alzheimer’s-related dying fee was 3.11%, or plane pilots, with a 4.57% dying fee as a result of Alzheimer’s. That’s a three- to four-fold distinction.

What would possibly account for this massive distinction? A neuroimaging examine carried out in taxi drivers in London demonstrated enhanced useful adjustments within the hippocampus, which is the mind area concerned within the creation of cognitive spatial maps – i.e., the area of the mind that orients us as to the place we’re and the place we wish to go. However the hippocampus can be the place Alzheimer’s illness develops – Alzheimer’s is related to accelerated atrophy of the hippocampus.

On this respect, the important distinction between navigational processing in ambulance and taxi drivers versus bus drivers and airline pilots is that the previous drivers want to determine the place they’re going and how you can get there in actual time. The precise route they should take isn’t exactly plotted prematurely. Airline pilots and bus drivers, as compared, observe a set route. They don’t must hold their hippocampi constantly at work.

The BMJ examine’s lead writer Vishal Patel, MD, MPH, a resident doctor within the Division of Surgical procedure at Brigham and Girls’s Hospital mentioned “We hypothesized that occupations similar to taxi driving and ambulance driving, which demand real-time spatial and navigational processing, may be related to a decreased burden of Alzheimer’s illness mortality in contrast with different occupations.”

Concerning the sensible implications of this examine, we definitely can not counsel that individuals ought to take up taxi and ambulance driving as an Alzheimer’s illness safety measure. However the implications are wider. We have to hold our brains lively and concerned. The hippocampus is a small a part of the mind, with a number of main capabilities. It converts short-term recollections into long-term recollections by organizing, storing and retrieving recollections. It additionally controls spatial reminiscence and verbal reminiscence. All of those very important capabilities are adversely affected by Alzheimer’s, however the details about cabbies and ambulance drivers provides to the proof that retaining the hippocampus busy slows the event of Alzheimer’s.

The BMJ examine’s senior writer, Anupam B. Jena, MD, PhD, a doctor within the Division of Medication at Massachusetts Common Hospital, acknowledged: “We view these findings not as conclusive, however as hypothesis-generating. However they counsel that it’s vital to contemplate how occupations might have an effect on threat of dying from Alzheimer’s illness and whether or not any cognitive actions will be doubtlessly preventive.”

Dr Jena’s assertion is cautious, which is pretty regular when researchers are commenting on their very own work. However the conclusions are in step with different Alzheimer’s illness findings, going again to the nun’s examine, which matches again to 1986. That examine – nonetheless ongoing – confirmed that the nuns who had been extra intellectually lively of their early years (as evidenced by their written narratives courting from their coming into the sisterhood) had considerably extra cognitive skills of their later years even once they had comparable amyloid and tau markers on post-mortem. The extra literate nuns, together with the drivers who’ve to remain on the alert to get the place they should go, do a greater job of keeping off the cognitive decline.

Sure, Dr Jena, cognitive actions will be preventive. Maintain these little gray cells buzzing!

A newly-approved HIV drug is rather more efficient and is given each six months

The drug, known as Yeztugo (lenacapavir) from Gilead Sciences, acquired FDA approval this June 18th particularly for the prevention of HIV an infection.  This identical compound, bought beneath the model title Sunlenca, had beforehand been accepted for medical therapy of HIV infections within the European Union in August 2022, in Canada in November 2022, and in the US in December 2022. It’s the first of a category of medication known as capsid inhibitors to be accepted by the FDA for treating HIV/AIDS.

Capsid inhibitors are a category of medication that focus on the HIV capsid, which is a protein shell that protects the virus’s genetic materials and enzymes.  By interfering with the capsid’s construction and performance, these inhibitors can disrupt HIV’s life cycle, together with its capability to enter cells, replicate, and infect new cells.

Now, lenacapavir, marketed as Yeztugo, has acquired approval within the US for HIV prevention. Yeztugo/lenacapavir is the primary in a new class of antiretrovirals which block HIV from infecting and making new copies of itself contained in the immune cells it targets.

In medical trials, lenacapavir/Yeztugo almost eradicated HIV’s unfold amongst people who got an injection of the drug each six months. HIV, as it’s possible you’ll bear in mind, is human immunodeficiency virus – the virus that causes AIDS (acquired immune deficiency syndrome).  The virus weakens the immune system by attacking and destroying T-cells, that are the brokers in our immune system that focus on invading pathogens. Individuals with that syndrome are typically unable to combat off even minor diseases. The signs of HIV might not seem till an individual is uncovered to a pathogen, at which level the immune system fails to do its job and the particular person might fall unwell.
Transmission of HIV happens by means of contact with contaminated blood, semen, or vaginal fluids. Some people with HIV develop flu-like signs 2 to 4 weeks after getting the virus. Others might not develop signs for years, if in any respect. Because the virus multiplies and destroys immune cells, signs can develop similar to fever, fatigue, and swollen lymph nodes. Untreated, HIV sometimes turns into AIDS in about 8 to 10 years.

No whole treatment exists for HIV/AIDS, however some medicines can management HIV and stop illness development. With therapy, most individuals with HIV within the US don’t progress to develop full-blown AIDS.

Yeztugo/lenacapavir was accepted after excellent outcomes in Gilead’s giant medical trials of the drug. The trials randomly assigned folks prone to HIV to obtain both lenacapavir injections each six months or every day Truvada, a tablet type of pre-exposure prophylaxis, or PrEP. Amongst homosexual and bisexual males and transgender folks, the Yeztugo group had an 89% decrease HIV fee than a bunch taking Truvada and a 96% decrease fee than the estimated an infection fee would have been in high-risk individuals who didn’t obtain any PrEP. In a comparable trial in girls in sub-Saharan Africa, nobody who acquired Yeztugo contracted HIV.

Despite the superb medical trial outcomes, the price of Yeztugo/lenacapavir might be a serious impediment to its widespread adoption. It’s priced at $14,109 per injection. Provided that the beneficial dosage is twice a 12 months, that involves $28,218 per 12 months. How a lot of this might be coated by medical insurance is a giant unknown.

Well being insurers, no less than within the close to time period, would possibly decline to cowl Yeztugo/ lenacapavir in favor of different types of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), together with the cheaper generic model of Truvada tablets, which price as little as $30 monthly. The unique model of Truvada, additionally made by Gilead, was the primary accepted PrEP drug in 2012, adopted by Descovy, the same oral medicine from Gilead, in 2019.

Use of those medicine has drastically elevated amongst homosexual and bisexual males, who, in response to the CDC, account for 7 in 10 new HIV circumstances and comprise the overwhelming share of PrEP customers.

Nonetheless, contemplating how a lot increased the HIV fee is amongst Black and Latino homosexual males in contrast with their White friends, PrEP use amongst males of colour has remained disproportionately low. Consultants consider PrEP has almost definitely hastened HIV’s appreciable decline amongst White homosexual and bisexual males, however the HIV fee amongst Black and Latino homosexual and bisexual males has endured at markedly excessive charges. As well as, even when they’re prescribed PrEP, Black homosexual males are much less probably to take the medicines as prescribed.

When they’re taken every day, Truvada and Descovy every slash HIV threat by no less than 99%. However inconsistent use diminishes PrEP’s effectiveness.

In view of the very excessive charges by which these PrEP brokers diminish HIV threat, the statistic that Yeztugo lowers HIV threat by 89% greater than Truvada is strikingly spectacular. If every day use of Truvada and Descovy decrease HIV threat by 99%, that may counsel that in these people taking these PrEP brokers, the HIV threat is about 1%. And if Yeztugo lowers the HIV threat in these people by one other 89%, that may indicate that their threat is someplace round 0.01% – i.e., virtually zero.

Trying on the total image, I discover it tough to foretell that Yeztugo might be broadly accepted as customary therapy for people with HIV. The present PrEP brokers have already got a excessive fee of success, and they aren’t costly. Yeztugo positively improves on the success fee, however for the time being, no less than, the value is exorbitant. Drug firms are likely to put colossal value tags on their merchandise for the time being once they get the FDA nod, however these preliminary costs are paid by solely a really small minority of the customers. Insurance coverage, Medicare, Medicaid, and quite a few pharmacy profit managers become involved within the image. The precise costs paid by most shoppers will fluctuate vastly.

What’s most fascinating, and, for my part, most promising, is the inauguration of a brand new class of medication. Capsid inhibitors assault the dangerous and elusive virus in a brand new method. Whatever the success of Yeztugo/lenacapavir, there might be extra capsid inhibitors, and there might be extra progress is containing HIV infections.

A rating on mind perform take a look at can determine threat components for most cancers and coronary heart illness

The take a look at, in response to a Mass Common Brigham examine just lately revealed in Household Observe, is the McCance Mind Care Rating, which assesses mind well being in three classes, designated as Bodily, Way of life, and Social Emotional. In accordance with McCance, these are classes that influence total mind well being.

    • Bodily: blood stress, blood sugar, whole ldl cholesterol, and BMI are sometimes recorded by a medical skilled or with an accepted self-use machine. No matter medical or household historical past there are steps that may be taken to alter every of those measures.
    • Way of life: food regimen, alcohol consumption, smoking, train, and sleep are all measures a person ought to hold observe of. Making small changes in a single space or one other over time can have a big effect on mind care rating.
    • Social Emotional: Stress and relationships can affect our bodily well being. These elements embody administration of stress, energy of social relationships, and an total sense of goal and which means in life. These are the trustworthy “how are you doing” questions which can be so important to the evaluation of our mind well being.

Researchers from Mass Common used information from the UK Biobank to research well being outcomes in 416,370 individuals, aged from 40 to 69. They discovered {that a} 5-point increased Mind Care Rating at baseline was related to a 43% decrease threat of growing heart problems over a median follow-up of 12½ years. For most cancers, a 5-point improve in Mind Care Rating was related to a 31% decrease incidence of lung, colorectal, and breast most cancers.

We already know that almost all of circumstances of coronary heart illness are as a result of modifiable behaviors, together with poor diet, bodily inactivity, smoking, and extreme alcohol use. Elements similar to elevated blood stress, ldl cholesterol, and blood sugar are additionally well-known to contribute to coronary heart illness, as are psychosocial components like stress and social isolation. These identical components are understood to be underlying causal components in strokes and in circumstances similar to dementia and late-life despair. And the three most typical cancers worldwide – lung, colorectal, and breast most cancers – share many of those identical threat components.

Dr Jasper Senff, lead writer of the examine mentioned, “The purpose of the McCance Mind Care Rating is to empower people to take small, significant steps towards higher mind well being. Taking higher care of your mind by making progress in your Mind Care Rating can also be linked to broader well being advantages, together with a decrease chance of coronary heart illness and most cancers.”

As we all know, many cancers and cardiovascular ailments are associated to components arising out of our every day habits and actions, and we’ve been repeatedly warned about smoking, extreme alcohol consumption, and unhealthy diets. So what’s completely different? I’d say that the distinction lies within the specificity of a specific rating, and its verified hyperlink to coronary heart illness and most cancers. A basic warning about our life-style habits is well glossed over. We’ve heard it a thousand instances. But when there’s a particular take a look at just like the McCance Mind Care Rating, which supplies us the particular share by which our threat components are affected by these every day actions, we’re apt to hearken and attend. Generally numbers have extra influence than phrases.

*****

Surveying the healthcare panorama on the whole, I’m tempted to echo Charles Dickens“It was the very best of instances, it was the worst of instances, it was the age of knowledge, it was the age of foolishness …”   The improvements and breakthroughs in medical therapy and drug improvement are nothing in need of phenomenal.   There are avenues for the therapy of ailments which, not too way back, have been dying knells.   However the precise apply of medication, which is to say, bringing these improvements and breakthroughs to people in want of therapy, is stumbling.   It isn’t really easy to see a real doctor.   There’s a scarcity of medical doctors, and fewer individuals are enrolling in medical faculty.   Until you might be already a longtime affected person, you will have to attend a very long time for an appointment.   In case you have an pressing situation, the one accessible possibility could also be a walk-in clinic – if there’s one – or the emergency division of the closest hospital.   It’s not straightforward for sufferers to entry the very best medical therapy.      

I’ll attempt to check out this panorama in my subsequent missive.  Maintain the feedback coming, and be properly.   Greatest to all, Michael Jorrin (aka Doc Gumshoe)

[ed note: Michael Jorrin, who I dubbed “Doc Gumshoe” many years ago, is a longtime medical writer (not a doctor) and shares his commentary with Gumshoe readers once or twice a month. He does not generally write about the investment prospects of topics he covers, but has agreed to our trading restrictions.  Past Doc Gumshoe columns are available here.]



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