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Alfonso Peccatiello

Macro Buying and selling 101: Threat Administration, Place Sizing, and Letting Winners Run

’I compile statistics on my merchants. My greatest dealer makes cash solely 63 p.c of the time. Most merchants earn a living solely within the 50 to 55 p.c vary. Meaning you’re going...

US Faces Stealth Fiscal Tightening as Tariffs Hit Company and Shopper Margins

Take note of what’s about to occur within the US. The US is about to face a fiscal tightening over the subsequent 3-4 months. Sure, you learn it appropriately: a fiscal tightening. How is that this...

Have We Seen Peak ‘Trump Commerce’ Already?

Trump is again slashing (or ought to we are saying: threatening) tariffs left, proper and heart. The extra gradual strategy steered by his inside circle is nowhere to be seen. It looks as if this...

China Is Imploding – And That Ought to Matter Simply as A lot because the Fed’s Pivot

The information of the week is NOT the Fed chopping 50 bps - sure positive, that’s vital however there's something far more related occurring. The Chinese language economic system retains imploding from inside. And we...

Cash Market Magic Masked Fed’s QT Chew So Far, however 2024 Guarantees Completely different Tune

The Fed has been working QT for some time and but there's nonetheless plentiful liquidity within the monetary system. Fed’s bond holdings are down $1.3 trillion from their peak (as a result of QT),...

The Most Misunderstood Idea in Finance

Lately, US Home Speaker McCarthy tweeted this: And though it feels like frequent sense, it’s useless mistaken.The federal government doesn’t want cash to spend cash. The federal government creates cash for the non-public sector when...

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