Australian retail gross sales information due right now – “danger firmly to the draw back”

Australian retail gross sales information are due at 0030 GMT (that is 1930 US ET and 11.30am in Sydney):

Snippet from Nationwide Australia Financial institution’s preview:

  • Shifting seasonal patterns put the danger firmly to the draw back in our view, and NAB pencils in a -1.0%, however with excessive uncertainty.
  • Black Friday pulling spending into November drove the 1.4% m/m November print, and the converse ought to weigh on the December quantity even amid underlying resilience in spending.
  • If we do get a milder decline in December, look ahead to downward revisions to the November quantity.

Through Westpac:

  • Our Westpac Card Tracker and different measures level to situations
    remaining buoyant by way of Dec. That stated, retail elements have been
    softer with beneficial properties in card exercise centring non-retail segments
    like journey and leisure companies. The excessive weighting of meals
    (accounting for simply over half of retail) additionally appears to be like to have been a drag,
    a few of which can be price-related.
  • On stability we anticipate nominal
    gross sales to say no 0.3% in Dec. Observe that the ultimate Dec launch,
    together with This autumn actual retail gross sales estimates, can be revealed on Feb 6.

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