US December PCE core inflation 2.9% y/y vs 3.0% anticipated


  • Prior was +3.2%
  • PCE core m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% anticipated
  • Prior m/m core +0.1%
  • Headline PCE +2.6% vs +2.6% anticipated (prior +2.6%)
  • Deflator m/m +0.2% vs +0.2% anticipated (prior -0.1%)

Shopper spending and revenue for December:

  • Private revenue +0.3% vs +0.3% anticipated. Prior month +0.4%
  • Private spending +0.7% vs +0.4% anticipated. Prior month +0.2% (revised to +0.4%)
  • Actual private spending +0.5% vs +0.3% prior (revised to +0.5%)

The delicate headline inflation quantity in yesterday’s GDP knowledge led to broad hypothesis a couple of draw back miss on December headline PCE. Nevertheless it was the core the place there was a slight miss.

One spot the Fed watches intently is PCE providers ex-energy and housing. It rose 0.3% m/m in comparison with 0.1% prior and that might assist to elevate the greenback. Treasury yields have ticked as much as session highs within the aftermath however solely up 1-2 bps because the launch.

This text was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.



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