The S&P 500 Hovers Close to File Excessive Regardless of Tariff Threats

In latest days, US President Donald Trump has turned his consideration firmly again in direction of tariffs. Learn extra in regards to the newest information and the market response beneath.

Trump Threatens Secondary Tariffs on Russia

On Monday, US President Donald Trump threatened secondary tariffs on Russian exports except a peace deal is reached by September. 

We’re very, very sad with them, and we’re going to be doing very extreme tariffs, if you happen to don’t have a deal in 50 days, tariffs at about 100%, they name them secondary tariffs,” mentioned the President while assembly with Nato secretary common Mark Rutte. 

In contrast to regular tariffs, which immediately goal a rustic’s exports, secondary tariffs towards Russia would as an alternative impose duties on nations and entities which buy Russian exports.

Such a transfer is designed to weaken the Russian economic system but additionally dangers upsetting different nations. China and India are two of the biggest importers of Russian vitality and, consequently, might discover themselves on the receiving finish of those duties if they’re launched. 

Trump Threatens 30% Tariffs on EU

Final week, Trump delayed the imposition of his “reciprocal” tariffs till 1 August to present extra time for nations to barter commerce agreements with the US. 

Within the meantime, the president has been sending letters to buying and selling companions outlining the tariffs which can take impact from 1 August if no settlement is struck.  

On Friday, such a letter was despatched to European Fee President Ursula von der Leyen, during which Trump threatened to impose tariffs of 30% on EU exports after the 1 August deadline.

Within the letter, Trump additionally warned towards retaliation. The president threatened that, if the EU retaliated with its personal import duties, Washington would increase tariffs by an identical proportion above the 30%.

Von der Leyen mentioned that the EU would “proceed working in direction of an settlement by August 1” but additionally burdened that it was ready to “take all needed steps to safeguard EU pursuits, together with the adoption of proportionate countermeasures if required”. 

Mexico and Canada have been additionally recipients of comparable letters final week, threatening tariffs of 30% and 35% respectively after 1 August.

US Markets Seem Unfazed

Regardless of the recent bout of tariff threats, US markets seem unfazed. 

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each proceed to hover round all-time highs, with each indices posting modest good points of 0.14% and 0.27% respectively on Monday. The Dow Jones additionally rose by 0.20%. 

Such a muted response may counsel that – because of the on once more, off once more nature of Trump’s tariff proposals – markets merely view the threats as a negotiation tactic. 

The oil market additionally didn’t appear significantly involved about Trump’s risk of secondary tariffs on Russia, which exports greater than 7 million barrels a day.  

While world benchmark Brent crude initially rose in buying and selling on Monday, it closed the session down 1.7% and continued its decline early on Tuesday morning.

China Q2 Development Beats Expectations

China reported higher than anticipated financial progress within the second quarter of the yr regardless of commerce tensions with the US. 

Gross Home Product (GDP) grew 5.2% yr on yr in Q2. While this represented a slowdown from the 5.4% achieved in Q1, it was larger than the 5.1% which had been anticipated. 

Nonetheless, headwinds persist. Moreover ongoing uncertainty concerning commerce, the Chinese language economic system faces a chronic property disaster, weak home demand and deflationary strain. 

While China’s economic system has proved resilient within the first half of the yr, some economists foresee a weaker second half. 

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