Tag: probability

Dow Jones/WSJ reports economists’ 63% probability on a US recession in the next 12 months

A survey of economists in the Wall Street Journal. The gist of the expectation of recession is that expectations are that continued Federal Reserve rate hikes will mean higher unemployment and a downturn...

As Elon Musk asserts his right to not buy Twitter, does this change your stance on the probability of Musk acquiring of TWTR? :...

I’m sure many of has seen this article on the front page today. As the title suggests, I’m wondering if this changes, in your personal opinion, the likeliness of Musk acquiring Twitter.Article for...

JP Morgan (quants) modelling shows a 41% probability of US recession

JP Morgan's Kolanovic leads the quant analysts at the bank. Says thier recession probability model now exceeds 41%Adds that the market is discounting a much higher probability than that implied from economic dataAnd...

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