Tag: probability

Low Likelihood of Loss: Why It Doesn’t Equal Low Danger in Investing

In golf, a hole-in-one is a outstanding feat. The chances? Roughly one in 850,000 from a distance of 150 yards –...

What’s the Chance of an Finish of Week S&P 500 or GBPUSD Break?

S&P 500, Sentiment, FOMC, Greenback, USDJPY and VIX Speaking Factors:The Market Perspective: USDJPY Bearish Beneath 137; GBPUSD Bullish Above 1.2300; S&P 500 Bearish Beneath 4,030The S&P 500 continues to develop its remarkably tight...

Goldman Sachs sees ‘excessive chance’ of OPEC lower — and expects oil costs to hit $110 subsequent yr : shares

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/29/oil-goldman-sachs-sees-high-probability-of-opec-production-cut-.htmlA bunch of a number of the world’s strongest oil producers is extremely more likely to take additional measures to stem a value decline and attempt to steadiness the market, in keeping with...

Dow Jones/WSJ reports economists’ 63% probability on a US recession in the next 12 months

A survey of economists in the Wall Street Journal. The gist of the expectation of recession is that expectations are that continued Federal Reserve rate hikes will mean higher unemployment and a downturn...

As Elon Musk asserts his right to not buy Twitter, does this change your stance on the probability of Musk acquiring of TWTR? :...

I’m sure many of has seen this article on the front page today. As the title suggests, I’m wondering if this changes, in your personal opinion, the likeliness of Musk acquiring Twitter.Article for...

JP Morgan (quants) modelling shows a 41% probability of US recession

JP Morgan's Kolanovic leads the quant analysts at the bank. Says thier recession probability model now exceeds 41%Adds that the market is discounting a much higher probability than that implied from economic dataAnd...

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