S&P 500: Tough Seas Forward


Just a few days in the past, I learn a premium article over ZeroHedge, which went into nice element as to why the three elements of what I name the Fed Unfold – – most notably, the steadiness sheet – – render all of the Q.T. the Fed is doing moot. In different phrases, by their arguments, the market was going to roar increased this 12 months anyway. I confess, I felt fairly empty-headed studying the article as a result of it didn’t sink in, though it was sufficient to strike concern into this bear’s coronary heart.

I used to be reminded of this simply now because it seems like our prediction of near-term S&P costs elevated. It’s nonetheless beneath current worth ranges, however the hole is getting smaller. Listed below are the three particular person parts:

REPO Rate Chart
Total Assets Chart
Liabilities and Capital Chart

Liabilities and Capital Chart

As soon as they’ve been by the meals processor, we will see the two-week goal for the is 3846, which isn’t precisely thrilling.

FR_WALCL Chart

The crimson reveals the unfold, which continues to be moderately meaty.

FR_WALCL Price Chart

The following Fed assembly (which can be its first of 2023) is barely 9 buying and selling days away, and between every now and then, there are lots of of high-profile earnings studies. There ought to be loads of tough seas forward.



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