Investing.com — Financial institution of America stated in a notice Friday that buyers ought to take into account promoting the US greenback throughout a possible bounce this October, pushed by historic seasonal patterns and present technical indicators.
In response to BofA, whereas there could also be an preliminary uptick within the greenback, the broader development suggests a bearish outlook for the foreign money.
The analysts level to a bearish triangle sample within the (DXY), which signifies potential declines to round 98.98 and presumably into the mid-96s.
Nonetheless, they anticipate a short lived “snapback” rally, much like earlier occurrences in December 2023, July 2023, and February 2023.
This rally, if it materializes, is predicted to be corrective and should check former assist ranges now performing as resistance within the mid-102s.
“Except the day by day chart types a technical backside,” BofA notes, “our bias is to promote an October election 12 months seasonal bounce in DXY for YE24 draw back.”
The notice emphasizes that technical indicators and oscillators assist a bearish stance on the greenback, suggesting that any features in October ought to be seen as a possibility to promote relatively than a sign of long-term energy.
The advice is predicated on BofA’s broader view of the FX market, together with their technical expectations for varied currencies.
As well as, BofA’s broader evaluation features a cautious stance on gold, advising towards chasing it as a consequence of stretched positioning and momentum, whereas suggesting potential upside in silver.
For the euro, the outlook stays optimistic, whereas the pound is predicted to face corrections regardless of a bullish development. The and different foreign money pairs are additionally positioned for actions that align with BofA’s bearish greenback outlook.