Qualcomm: As Headwinds Dissipate, Inventory Poised for Breakout


  • Shares have lagged behind these of its friends, however that’s about to alter.
  • Final yr’s headwinds have dissipated, and a number of other bullish tailwinds are rising.
  • Search for shares to retake final month’s excessive of $146 after which transfer shortly in direction of $160.

In comparison with among the different chipmakers, Qualcomm (NASDAQ:) has been buying and selling a bit of slower in latest weeks. Whereas the likes of Superior Micro Dynamics, Inc (NASDAQ:) are up 70% since November, and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:) is up 40%, Qualcomm shares are barely up 30%. They’re even being outperformed by the black sheep of the chip shares, Intel (NASDAQ:), whose shares have gained 40% since then, too.

However this lagging behind its friends appears to be like set to finish, and Qualcomm’s comparatively lackluster efficiency is all of the sudden turning into an appetizing shopping for alternative. Let’s leap in and see why.

Recent improve

Simply final week, the crew at Citi upgraded their score on Qualcomm shares, shifting the inventory to a Purchase score from Impartial. Having met goal clients of chip firms like Qualcomm, Citi feels there are particular purchaser developments rising that put Qualcomm and its product portfolio in a chief place to learn and seize market share. They’re in search of the corporate’s steerage to be boosted within the coming weeks, whereas analyst expectations for its earnings report later this month must be simply topped.

Citi’s contemporary value goal of $160 factors to additional upside of a minimum of 15% from the place Qualcomm shares closed on Wednesday, and this must be greater than doable within the coming weeks. Having spent a lot of 2023 consolidating from the 50% haircut shares taken the earlier yr, Qualcomm’s rally that kicked off final November could be very a lot intact and simply screams restoration. If the inventory can discover its solution to $160 within the coming weeks, it’s going to have absolutely damaged out past final yr’s higher vary and will likely be at its highest stage in almost two years.

Past the bullish outlook from Citi, Qualcomm bulls even have the elevated value targets from the groups at Barclays and KeyCorp (NYSE:) earlier this week. This sort of optimistic analyst consideration goes an extended solution to fuelling demand and must be sufficient to tempt in even the extra cautious investor. Financial institution of America has additionally reiterated its Purchase score on the inventory this month and went as far as to name Qualcomm a prime choose for 2024.

Getting concerned

Having weathered the worst of the storm led to by larger rates of interest and supply-chain points, these headwinds are actually dissipating, and Qualcomm is maybe one of the best tailwinds it has had in a few years. The corporate has carried out properly to place itself on the forefront of the synthetic intelligence (AI) revolution and spoke to this very level earlier this month. Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Digital Chassis is ready to carry generative AI to autos, which will likely be a game-changer when it comes to digital cockpits and automatic driving methods. It’s already introduced a strategic partnership with Bosch to showcase a few of these capabilities.

The corporate’s earnings are due out on the final day of January, and buyers will likely be watching carefully to see if the rising optimism from Citi and its friends is justified. There’s a way of warning in the meanwhile relating to Qualcomm inventory, however there’s an excessive amount of entering into its favor to justify this proper now. Even the broader semiconductor business is choosing up the correct of momentum, with a report final week displaying semiconductor gross sales rose in November for the primary time since August 2022.

Even from an entry perspective, the dip seen in Qualcomm shares because the begin of the month solely improves the chance/reward profile. The inventory had gotten fairly frothy within the closing weeks of final yr, and its relative energy index (RSI) was screaming overbought. It’s now again at a pleasant impartial stage, which bodes properly for a breakout rally within the coming weeks.

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