Morgan Stanley: Adjusts USD danger skew to impartial; Recommends lengthy JPY


Morgan Stanley shifts its danger outlook on the USD to impartial and recommends going lengthy on JPY in opposition to the USD and different risk-sensitive currencies amid heightened issues of a tough touchdown.

Key Factors:

  1. Danger Skew Adjustment:

    • Morgan Stanley adjusts its danger skew on the USD to impartial in mild of ongoing market turbulence and hard-landing fears.
  2. Market Situations:

    • The present FX market is characterised by a “protection” regime, which can persist and doubtlessly result in a future USD bear market.
  3. Lengthy JPY Technique:

    • Historic tendencies point out that the simplest trades throughout protection regimes contain being lengthy on JPY, each in opposition to the USD and particularly in opposition to risk-sensitive currencies.

Conclusion:

Morgan Stanley’s evaluation suggests a cautious strategy in direction of the USD whereas favoring JPY as a extra sturdy place within the present financial local weather.

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