Microsoft Q3 2025 Earnings Preview: Investor Focus Is on Azure Development


Microsoft (NASDAQ:) traders are going to concentrate on the Clever Cloud outcomes, which embody Azure and different server merchandise.

Key Highlights

  • The corporate demonstrates distinctive monetary efficiency with a 15.04% income development fee and strong EBITDA of $142.04 billion, whereas its cloud division Azure continues to achieve market share towards rivals like AWS.
  • Microsoft’s latest Q2 2025 outcomes exceeded expectations with EPS of $3.23 and income of $69.6 billion, highlighted by a 21% year-over-year surge in cloud income. Notably noteworthy is the corporate’s AI enterprise acceleration, reaching a $13 billion annual income run fee, representing a outstanding 175% year-over-year development.
  • MSFT has a monopoly-like place in numerous areas (OS, Workplace), the money cows to assist drive Azure development.
  • Microsoft 365 continues to learn from upselling into higher-priced stock-keeping models as clients are keen to pay up for higher safety and Groups Telephone, which is more likely to proceed over the following a number of years.
  • Momentum is slowing within the ongoing shift to subscriptions, notably in workplace.
  • The AI panorama is quickly evolving, with new entrants like DeepSeek difficult established gamers, doubtlessly pressuring Microsoft’s market share and pricing energy.

MSFT Q3 2025 earnings after-market Wednesday, April 30, 2025.

Analyst Ratings

Earnings Expectation

Monetary Well being Historical past

Monetary Well being for Microsoft is set by rating the corporate on over 100 components towards corporations within the Info Know-how sector and working in Developed financial markets.

Financial Health History

Choice Statistics

Option Statistics

Put/Name ratio suggests the next three eventualities:

  • With Put/Name ratio between 0.7237 to 0.5301 for the following 4 upcoming expiries means that the general choice merchants’ place is inclined in direction of Calls.
  • Decrease earnings and steering might set off a pointy sell-off.
  • Higher-than-expected steering would set off a gradual rise.
  • Choice market is displaying a big web optimistic Gamma at 400 strike versus web damaging gamma publicity at 380 strike over the spectrum of April 2025 to Jan 2027.

Technical Evaluation Perspective

  • MSFT held 366 -349 July 2023 earlier all-time excessive within the latest decline.
  • This drop looks as if a retest of the earlier all-time excessive.
  • Inventory tends to maneuver in a channel sample since Nove 2021. Initially in a falling channel from Nov ’21 to Oct ‘22.
  • Adopted by a rising channel from Oct ’22 to Jul ’24 and now hovering inside a declining channel from Jul ’24 to this point.
  • MSFT is close to the midpoint of the channel at 393.50/395.50 on weekly charts.
  • A robust upward penetration above 395.50 submit earnings would goal 430/435 impediment.
  • Rejection of 395.50 impediment would eye 366/357 help area.

Weekly Candlestick Chart

Weekly Candlestick Chart

MSFT Seasonality Chart

MSFT Seasonality Chart

  • MSFT closes 4.73.4% larger in April 5703% of the time since 2006.

Conclusion

  • MSFT breaks/maintain 395.50 submit earnings would pave the best way for 430/435 resistance. Failure to do would goal 366/357 help area.

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Disclaimer: Ali Service provider is a seasoned monetary market skilled with experience in Technical Evaluation, Treasury & Capital Markets, Buying and selling, Gross sales, Analysis, Coaching, Fund & Relationship Administration, Fintech, and Digitalization. He’s a CMT constitution holder and an energetic member of CMT Affiliation, USA, American Affiliation of Skilled Technical Analysts, and CMT Affiliation of Canada. He has labored on numerous roles and organizations in North America and the GCC, resembling ABN Amro financial institution, Thomson Reuters, Refinitiv, MAK Allen & Day Capital Companions, and Bridge Info Techniques.

He’s the founding father of TwT Learnings, supplies monetary market coaching. Observe us on “X” previously Twitter “@twtlearning.”





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