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JP Morgan (quants) modelling shows a 41% probability of US recession

JP Morgan (quants) modelling shows a 41% probability of US recession


JP Morgan’s Kolanovic leads the quant analysts at the bank. Says thier recession probability model now exceeds 41%

  • Adds that the market is discounting a much higher probability than that implied from economic data
  • And warns that using financial indicators alone has produced false positives.

JPMs quants have been bullish US equities, getting some joy today.



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