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Guggenheim’s Minerd says the Fed is going to keep raising rates until something breaks

Guggenheim’s Minerd says the Fed is going to keep raising rates until something breaks


Scott Minerd, Chairman of Guggenheim Investments and Guggenheim Partners Global with the tweet:

I like how Minerd accompanied his words with that Gilt chart. The Bank of England would probably rephrase his comments as “until something ELSE breaks”!

In further comments Minerd expanded:

  • The Federal Reserve’s (Fed) single-minded commitment to fighting inflation … almost seems to be—dare I say—on “autopilot.”
  • We all should remember what happened the last time the Fed suggested that the future course of policy was predetermined: After Powell’s infamous reference to the Fed balance sheet reduction being on “autopilot” in a December 2018 press conference, stocks collapsed and the Fed was forced to backtrack from the statement, which marked the start of a policy pivot.
  • Some Fed policymakers seem to have learned their lesson from December 2018, which is why they are quick to invoke data dependency as a disclaimer to their messaging.



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