ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX information wrap: US army strikes ship oil, USD greater

Information of US strikes:

Different:

• Recapping Japan flash PMI – factors to modest enchancment, however enterprise warning lingers
• Democratic Republic of Congo prolonged ban on cobalt exports by three months – costs leap
• Fitch Rankings say Australian mortgage arrears confirmed sharper than ordinary rise
• Japan’s PM Ishiba shall be holding a 9pm Tokyo time press convention
• Tesla launches restricted robotaxi trial in Texas on Sunday
• Folks’s Financial institution of China units yuan reference price at 7.1710 (vs. estimate at 7.1914)
• Japan Jibun financial institution PMI manufacturing June 2025 preliminary 50.4 (prior 49.4)
• PBOC is predicted to set the USD/CNY reference price at 7.1914 – Reuters estimate
• Financial institution of Korea will take market stabilising measures if volatility heightens excessively
• Australia preliminary June 2025 manufacturing PMI 51.0 (prior 51.0)
• Fed’s Daly spoke over the weekend – no bombshell feedback (I will see myself out)
• Commerce concepts thread – Monday, 23 June, insightful charts, technical evaluation, concepts
• Trump desires a Japan, South Korea, Australia leaders assembly on the NATO summit
• Monday open ranges, indicative FX costs, 16 June 2025 – USD up after Trump bombs Iran
• Gold Technical Evaluation
• Can You Depend on Weekend Markets? Understanding Weekend CFDs
• Week Forward Preview: inflation information from the US, Canada, Aus, and International PMIs

Weekend information was dominated by reviews of US army strikes:

• 125 US army plane, together with seven B-2 stealth bombers as the principle strike group

• Three nuclear services focused: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan

• 75 precision-guided weapons deployed, together with 14 GBU-57 Large Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs; ~13,000kg / 30,000lb), dropped on two goal areas

• Greater than two dozen Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from a US submarine at Isfahan website targets

Within the very early hours of the Asia session, FX markets reacted with a light safe-haven bid into USD. The greenback firmed throughout the board, with EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD all gapping decrease. JPY and CHF additionally weakened, whereas CAD dipped, however discovered partial help from an increase in oil costs.

On the Globex open (6pm US Jap), oil costs gapped greater, with Brent briefly hitting five-month highs. US fairness index futures opened decrease however had been rapidly purchased again, nearly absolutely closing their gaps.

EUR, AUD, NZD, and GBP additionally recovered early losses, however because the session wore on, these currencies turned decrease once more—AUD and NZD underperforming most notably.

As of writing, Brent crude has retraced about two-thirds of its hole greater. Technically, Brent broke above a triple high and has since pulled again to retest that degree. Whereas oil bulls could also be disillusioned by the dearth of follow-through on such a serious escalation, bears ought to be cautious—they’re nonetheless combating a well-established uptrend.

On the political entrance, President Trump raised the prospect of regime change in Iran, reportedly blindsiding his senior officers. Given the supply, the thought can’t be completely dismissed. If this does change into a objective, the Center East dangers getting into a sharply extra escalatory part. It’s nonetheless unlikely for my part, however with Trump, unpredictability—and follow-through—ought to by no means be underestimated.