ECB’s Visco: Rate hikes could have the biggest impact after economy has already slowed


  • Rates must keep rising though long-term inflation expectations remain anchored
  • Approach to policy tightening will be defined meeting by meeting based on data
  • Eurozone mid-term economic prospects important to establish more appropriate final level, proceeding gradually
  • Significant worsening of economic outlook is cause for concern
  • Impossible to fully offset the impact of the energy shock on profits and wages

This is a dovish turn and draws the lines in the ECB debate. That said, with Dutch inflation at 17% today, there’s not much an argument for staying on the sidelines.



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