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Black swans of the American inventory market. – Analytics & Forecasts – 27 December 2022

Black swans of the American inventory market. – Analytics & Forecasts – 27 December 2022


The submit by Dmitry Medvedev within the telegram channel dated December 26, 2022 is just not a futuristic speculation. In my view, this submit is an actual vector of future developments, particularly relating to 8, 9 and 10 factors.

The implementation of the eighth paragraph, for instance, could be like this.

The USA known as itself an enemy of the Russian State, thereby condemning itself to destruction, as a result of your entire historical past of the Russian State exhibits that its enemies are at all times overthrown by the peoples of Nice Russia.

Victory over the enemy should happen on all fronts – army, political, informational, financial. All the things that gives survivability to our enemy should be destroyed, together with within the monetary sector.

The aim of the US is evident – to regulate the world by way of a monetary system constructed on the hegemony of the greenback. The coverage of the so-called managed chaos, which provokes consistently smoldering armed conflicts, turning right into a burning section, in Eurasia and Africa is designed to weaken all nations and make America an island of stability for world capital. A worldwide monetary system based mostly on the uncontrolled and due to this fact legal inexperienced paper printing is the chair the US sits on. Those that name on america to rise up from this chair are despatched obscenely by them. Knocking out a chair from below a seated particular person is a troublesome activity, requiring enormous efforts and sudden actions, it’s a lot simpler to overturn a seated particular person by sawing the leg of this chair.

Beneath the leg of the chair is supposed the American inventory market, the collapse of which at one level will result in the impoverishment of the US inhabitants and the depreciation of monetary property denominated in US {dollars}. To say that it will have a constructive impact on the expulsion of america from Ukraine, Poland, Romania, the Baltic states, in addition to the elimination of American nuclear arsenals from Turkey, Germany, Italy, Belgium and the Netherlands, is like saying nothing.

The inventory market within the American monetary system is similar to a rod in a kids’s pyramid, pulling out which, shedding stability, crumbles when it’s evenly touched.

To destroy something, it’s vital to know the construction of the thing being destroyed (its core) and to establish weak factors as a way to apply efforts within the path vital for this destruction.

To illustrate, an enormous block of stone, which can’t be destroyed even by a simultaneous blow of 100 thousand sledgehammers, it seems that it may be destroyed by hitting a small hammer in the suitable place and in the suitable path, realizing its inner construction and weak factors the place to hit. For instance, the descent of rocks with a quantity of 25 million cubic meters. m on the Bureya River on December 11, 2018 might have been attributable to a hoof that ran within the flawed place and on the flawed time by some mountain goat.

All that is true not just for materials objects, for instance, the destruction of the “Union of the Indestructible Republics of the Free” occurred with minimal effort on the proper time and in the suitable place by signing three insignificant unlawful paperwork.

The US is certainly not an exception to the rule. Something can occur, however you possibly can’t watch for the suitable goat to run in the suitable place and on the proper time to deliver down the suitable one. The method wants assist – to gather the required goats and manage their passage subsequent to the American backyard.

As for monetary crises, I’m completely certain that the looks of black swans within the inventory market doesn’t simply occur, the time of their look could be predicted with a reasonably correct definition of value and time intervals. It’s at these particular time intervals that black swans can arrive, and when this occurs, a state of affairs arises by which a small pebble that has fallen down from the wind from the mountain causes a stone tsunami on the foot of this mountain.

The Nice Melancholy that occurred in America within the 30s of the final century is an efficient affirmation of this. That is the case when the US drank in full from the arrival of black swans.

The video beneath exhibits the fractal construction of the Dow Jones Index chart previous to the 1929 inventory market crash and the upcoming Nice Melancholy.

The subsequent time interval by which the black swans have been purported to fly to the American inventory market is 1945. Nevertheless, america, having concentrated 70% of the world’s gold reserves on its territory, prevented a collapse within the inventory market by declaring the US greenback the world’s gold-backed foreign money.

The video beneath exhibits the fractal construction of the Dow Jones index chart, which took form on the eve of the Bretton Woods convention.

The subsequent estimated time interval for the arrival of black swans on the American inventory market was 1973. However this time too, the US obtained away with it, decoupling the US greenback from gold and beginning uncontrolled emission and criminally unrestrained progress of public debt.

The video beneath exhibits the fractal construction of the Dow Jones index chart, which took form on the eve of the Jamaica Convention.

The time interval that started on September 2, 2021 grew to become the subsequent estimated time interval for the arrival of black swans on the US inventory market. For Russia, a window of alternative is opening to ask America for all of the crimes dedicated, discarding all of the boundaries of decency.

The primary activity must be to stop america from getting away with it this time. America should be pressured to pay for all of the accrued money owed to the World and particularly to reply for the unleashed conflict in Ukraine with a whole withdrawal from the Eurasian continent.

The video beneath exhibits the fractal construction of the Dow Jones Index chart, which took form on the eve of September 2, 2021.

I consider that the state of affairs is ripe for a really deep correction on the American inventory market, which can final till 2028 and inside which the entire capitalization of American corporations might lower by greater than 2.5 occasions and, I’m certain that Russia is within the energy to offer this course of highly effective acceleration.

I outlined my ideas on the subject of value forecasting within the monetary market within the article “Apophenia as an apologist for clairvoyance in capital markets”.

Within the article “When will Dow be low?” the theoretical points of the strategy of modeling the monetary market are described and its sensible utility is proven on the instance of the dynamics of the values of the American inventory index Dow Jones.



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