Utilized Supplies Earnings Preview: Beat Probably Amid New Commerce Secret Litigation?

, a pacesetter in semiconductor gear, reported Q2 FY2025 non‑GAAP EPS of $2.39 that beat estimates, whereas income of $7.1B barely missed. With robust margins, 21 years of dividends, aggressive buybacks, and management in GAA and superior packaging, it’s well-positioned for development.

Key highlights

• Forward of Thursday’s fiscal third-quarter outcomes, Stifel reiterated its Purchase ranking and $195 worth goal on Utilized Supplies, the $152.5 billion semiconductor-equipment large that “InvestingPro” charges with a “GOOD” monetary well being rating.
• The agency expects Utilized Supplies to fulfill or barely beat July-quarter income and EPS, information fiscal This fall (Oct) flat to up sequentially, and experiences a 48.1% gross margin with 5.99% income development over the previous 12 months.
• Utilized Supplies is well-placed to learn from AI-driven demand for specialised chips, leveraging its experience in superior nodes like Gate-All-Round (GAA) expertise as a key enabler for AI chip manufacturing.
• AMAT experience in Excessive Bandwidth Reminiscence (HBM) and superior DRAM aligns with rising demand for high-performance reminiscence in AI, with robust potential to achieve market share in GAA, superior packaging, bottom energy, and HBM applied sciences.

The continued geopolitical tensions and commerce restrictions with China threaten Utilized Supplies’ income, with Chinese language gross sales anticipated to say no about 17% in 2025. The cyclical semiconductor {industry} additionally exposes the corporate to downturns, probably lowering buyer capital expenditures and exerting pricing strain.

AMAT Q3 2025 earnings after market Thursday August 14, 2025

Technical Evaluation Perspective

• AMAT repeatedly rejected the 200-201 degree in January 2025 and once more in July, confirming its significance.
• Costs rebounded from 159 in December 2024 however failed to interrupt 200 on the primary try.
• A deeper decline to 124 occurred in March 2024, with subsequent failed makes an attempt to clear 200 once more.
• The double rejection of the 200 zone suggests a possible bullish inverse head & shoulders sample within the making.
• The current low of 174.50 might mark the proper shoulder; a robust transfer above 200-201 might goal 214–215, with additional upside after a correction.
• If this sample performs out, a big rally could also be forward within the coming months.
• Nonetheless, continued rejection at 200-201 and a break beneath 174.50 after earnings would negate the bullish outlook and recommend a decrease transfer.

Weekly Candlestick Chart

AMAT Seasonality Chart

Since 2006, Utilized Supplies has averaged a 1.3% decline in August, occurring in 40% of years, and a 1.5% drop in September, taking place in 42% of years—each beneath the 50% threshold.

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