Weekly replace on rate of interest expectations


Charge cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 74 bps (51% likelihood of fifty bps fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 190 bps

  • ECB: 49 bps (92% likelihood of fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 171 bps

  • BoE: 37 bps (78% likelihood of fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 152 bps

  • BoC: 73 bps (52% likelihood of 25 bps fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 204 bps

  • RBA: 18 bps (80% likelihood of no change on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 103 bps

  • RBNZ: 92 bps (69% likelihood of fifty bps fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 245 bps

  • SNB: 27 bps (92% likelihood of 25 bps fee lower on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 75 bps

Charge hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 5 bps (82% likelihood of no change on the upcoming assembly)

2025: 27 bps

(*The place you see 25 bps likelihood, the remainder of the likelihood is for a 50 bps lower)

This text was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.



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