Right here is a good from topdowncharts.com that highlights the seasonality of volatility:
If it feels prefer it’s been getting much less unstable this 12 months, then you definitely’re actually onto one thing. However volatility is like yo-yo as each drop units the stage for a rebound. The seasonal sample for that picks up in August earlier than a peak in mid-October.
Fundamentals trump a pattern like this however it’s straightforward to check how we may once-again fall into this sample. The market has gotten hurriedly lengthy in danger belongings and recession danger has light. A shock sizzling inflation print may spark charge hike fears, or a shock drop in jobs may spark worries. Even earnings season may carry with it some turmoil, because it did to TSLA and NFLX this week.
