4 Enormous Analyst Calls: Oracle’s triumph; Apple’s dwindling iPhone numbers


Right here is your Professional Recap of the highest takeaways from Wall Road analysts for the previous week: upgrades for Oracle and Domino’s, whereas Apple and Logitech had been slashed.

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Oracle

What occurred? On Monday, Wolfe Analysis improve Oracle (NYSE:) to Outperform with a $130 worth goal

What’s the total story? Wolfe famous that the tone of the corporate’s outcomes has been steadily bettering:

We see a prime line beat pushed by Cloud outperformance, in addition to a possible 1Q information forward of consensus. Whereas now we have spent the final 12 months in a state of heightened skepticism round OCI’s development alternative, the persistently bettering tone of our checks has grow to be not possible to disregard. We consider that ORCL has created a significant 2nd mover architectural and value benefit round Gen 2 OCI [Oracle Cloud Infrastructure], that opponents are both unable or unwilling to match.

Outperform is described by Wolfe as:

The safety is projected to outperform analyst’s trade protection universe over the following 12 months.

How did the inventory react? Shares surged at 4am in New York as skilled scalpers jumped in, taking the fairness from $110 to $114 over a two hour interval. Oracle opened the common session Monday at $114.34 and closed at $116.43.

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Apple

What occurred? On Tuesday, UBS downgraded Apple (NASDAQ:) to Impartial with a $190 worth goal.

What’s the total story? UBS cited weak spot in iPhone gross sales within the firm’s key markets:

Whereas current energy in rising markets is encouraging, the US, China, and Europe represented ~70% of iPhone demand within the March quarter down from 72% final 12 months as sell-through in these areas was down 7.5% YoY (Counterpoint). iPhone sell-through within the ROW, (consists of rising markets and different developed markets like Japan) was down 2.4% within the March quarter. India, a key focus market, represented simply 3% of iPhones bought within the March quarter, up 34% YoY or 500k items.

As such, we don’t consider the unit TAM and development exterior of the three largest markets is giant sufficient to drive long-term sustainable iPhone development above mid-single digits.

UBS describes Impartial as:

FSR [Forecast Stock Return is between -6% and 6% of the MRA [Market Return Assumption].

How did the inventory react? Shares closed Monday at $183.79. The downgrade was out in a single day throughout non-market hours. Shares opened Tuesday at $182.80 and closed at $183.31, primarily flat on the day.

Logitech

What occurred? On Wednesday, Citi downgraded Logitech (NASDAQ:) to impartial with a $70 worth goal.

What’s the total story? Logitech’s CEO resigned this week, and Citi stated the event – together with different large administration modifications – foments uncertainty as as to whether the corporate can attain its personal development targets:

After the shut on June thirteenth, Logitech introduced its president and CEO, Bracken Darrell, is straight away departing for an out of doors alternative, however remaining current for a one-month transition to interim CEO Man Gecht. The corporate didn’t actively reaffirm steering, and whereas the corporate cited no variations in technique as a motive for the sudden and surprising departure, this, mixed with the current installment of a brand new CFO, might trigger buyers to query administration’s capacity to execute upon its present development technique.

A altering of the guards over the previous few months creates uncertainty on when the corporate can revert again to reaching the expansion targets it has set out in its long run mannequin. We transfer to the sidelines till we get higher readability on how/when the corporate can obtain its long run development targets, and we downgrade our ranking on Logitech shares to Impartial from Purchase.

Citi describes a Impartial as:

Purchase (1) ETR of 15% or extra or 25% or extra for Excessive danger shares; and Promote (3) for unfavorable ETR. Any coated inventory not assigned a Purchase or a Promote is a Impartial (2).

How did the inventory react? The inventory was underneath immense stress within the wake of the CEO departure, and Citi’s downgrade at 6:20am didn’t assist issues. Shares dropped $1.50 on the headline to mid $56 deal with, and closed the common session down 12.5%.

Domino’s Pizza

What occurred? On Thursday, Stifel upgraded Domino’s Pizza Inc (NYSE:) to Purchase with a $350 worth goal.

What’s the total story? Stifel is assured the corporate can now stabilize supply gross sales, whereas within the quick time period its backside line ought to be propped up by decrease prices:

Our improve displays our perception that over the following 12 months, the corporate will stabilize supply gross sales and proceed rising carryout gross sales to new document ranges. Higher gross sales efficiency, decrease commodity prices, and better labor productiveness ought to increase franchisee profitability, sparking larger unit development. We don’t count on 2Q outcomes to offer proof that supply gross sales are stabilizing, however we consider decrease prices will give some near-term earnings help whereas new initiatives are launched in 2H23.

Stifel describes Purchase as:

Purchase – We count on a complete return of larger than 10% over the following 12 months with whole return equal to the share worth change plus dividend yield.

How did the inventory react? Shares opened Wednesday’s common session at $302.13 and rose steadily into earnings closing Wednesday at $305.72. The improve got here after hours and the inventory rocketed as much as the $325 deal with, the place it additionally closed the common session – up about 6.5% on the day.

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