- U.S. PPI inflation, Nvidia earnings might be in focus within the week forward.
- Nvidia is poised to ship yet one more landmark quarter.
- Intuit faces a storm of basic and technical headwinds because it prepares to report.
U.S. shares ended larger on Friday after the Supreme Court docket struck down President Donald Trump’s tariffs. In response, Trump known as the ruling a “shame” and introduced that he would impose a brand new international tariff price of 15% in a Fact Social put up on Saturday, a day after setting a ten% responsibility.
Supply: Investing.com
With Friday’s transfer, the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Common tacked on round 0.3% on the week. The S&P 500 rose 1.1%, whereas the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite snapped a five-week shedding streak, leaping 1.5%. The small-cap Russell 2000 gained practically 0.7%.
Extra volatility might be in retailer within the week forward as buyers assess the outlook for the financial system, inflation, rates of interest and company earnings amid renewed commerce tensions.
In a data-light week, many of the focus will fall on Friday’s U.S. producer value inflation report for January. As of Sunday morning, merchants see simply over a 50% probability the Federal Reserve will minimize rates of interest by its June coverage assembly.
Supply: Investing.com
Elsewhere, in earnings, ’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) outcomes would be the key replace of the week because the reporting season attracts to a detailed. Moreover Nvidia, buyers will give attention to a number of different tech-sector quarterly reviews. These embrace key software program firms which might be underneath siege from issues that AI will disrupt their companies resembling Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), (NASDAQ:INTU), Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), and Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM).
As well as, AI infrastructure gamers Dell Applied sciences (NYSE:DELL) and CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) will ship ends in the approaching week. Outdoors of tech, notable retailers like Dwelling Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe’s Firms (NYSE:LOW), and TJX Firms (NYSE:TJX) are additionally on the agenda.
In the meantime, buyers will assess President Trump’s State of the Union speech on Tuesday, whereas watching out for U.S.-Iran developments.
No matter which course the market goes, under I spotlight one inventory more likely to be in demand and one other which may see contemporary draw back. Bear in mind although, my timeframe is simply for the week forward, Monday, February 23 – Friday, Feb. 27.
Inventory to Purchase: Nvidia
Nvidia is heading into its earnings launch with analysts calling for an additional “beat-and-raise” quarter, underpinned by surging demand for AI infrastructure. Outcomes for the fourth quarter are due after the market closes on Wednesday at 4:20PM ET. A name with CEO Jensen Huang is about for five:00PM ET.
Revenue estimates have been revised upward 36 instances in latest weeks, in line with an InvestingPro survey, with only one downward revision, reflecting rising bullishness round Nvidia’s earnings potential. The anticipated post-earnings transfer for NVDA inventory within the choices market is +/-6% up or down.
Supply: InvestingPro
Consensus requires the AI juggernaut to report earnings of $1.52 per share, marking a 71% year-over-year improve. Income is projected to surge 67% to $65.6 billion, demonstrating the corporate’s continued dominance within the AI chip market.
Current steering from Citi sees Nvidia’s January-quarter income doubtlessly topping $67 billion, with expectations for even stronger April-quarter numbers.
One other quarter of robust information‑middle income, increasing margins, and strong free money stream would reinforce the concept Nvidia remains to be within the center – not the tip – of an AI supercycle.
Supply: Investing.com
NVDA inventory closed at $189.82 on Friday, reflecting latest consolidation after a powerful run however with room to rally on constructive catalysts: throughout each timeframe, from intraday to month-to-month, transferring averages and indicators flash “robust purchase.”
A beat-and-raise quarter may spark a pointy rally, particularly if administration highlights visibility into 2026/2027 development from new architectures like Rubin.
Commerce Setup:
- Entry: Round present ranges (~$190)
- Exit Goal: $210 (achieve ~10%)
- Cease-Loss: $184 (threat ~3.5%)
Inventory To Promote: Intuit
Intuit, the dad or mum of TurboTax, QuickBooks, Credit score Karma, and Mailchimp, enters earnings week underneath a darkish cloud. Fears have intensified in early 2026 that generative AI instruments may erode Intuit’s moat in tax preparation, accounting, and monetary software program by enabling free or low-cost options, customized brokers, or in-house options for small companies and customers.
This has contributed to a “SaaSpocalypse” sentiment, with the sector shedding trillions in market worth not too long ago and INTU particularly hit exhausting (down sharply in latest months alongside friends like Salesforce and others).
Analysts have grown more and more cautious on INTU forward of the print, with 23 of the final 25 revisions being made to the draw back.
Supply: InvestingPro
Wall Road sees Intuit reporting EPS of $3.68 (up ~11% YoY) on income round $4.5 billion. Nonetheless, the actual threat lies within the narrative round AI disruption.
Whereas Intuit has invested closely in AI, the market seems to view these as defensive relatively than transformative sufficient to offset broader threats. TD Cowen simply slashed its value goal, citing skepticism round Intuit’s AI technique and mounting competitors.
Any commentary on aggressive pressures, slower development in core segments, or cautious steering may exacerbate the draw back, particularly in an oversold however fear-driven setting.
Supply: Investing.com
INTU inventory is down 42.5% over three months, now buying and selling simply above its 52-week low of $375.40. The technicals are a sea of crimson: on each timeframe from hourly to month-to-month, each transferring averages and indicators scream “robust promote.”
With administration’s steering underneath scrutiny, any earnings disappointment to account for a extra aggressive, AI‑pushed panorama may speed up the rout.
Commerce Setup:
- Entry: Round present ranges (~$381)
- Exit Goal: $355 (achieve ~7%)
- Cease-Loss: $400 (threat ~5%)
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Disclosure: This isn’t monetary recommendation. At all times conduct your individual analysis.
On the time of writing, I’m lengthy on the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq 100 through the SPDR® S&P 500 ETF, and the Invesco QQQ Belief ETF. I’m additionally lengthy on the Know-how Choose Sector SPDR ETF. I recurrently rebalance my portfolio of particular person shares and ETFs primarily based on ongoing threat evaluation of each the macroeconomic setting and corporations’ financials.
The views mentioned on this article are solely the opinion of the writer and shouldn’t be taken as funding recommendation.
Observe Jesse Cohen on X/Twitter @JesseCohenInv for extra inventory market evaluation and perception.